A Quick History Lesson
The federal income tax did not exist until 1913. By 1944 the top marginal rate hit 94%. Not a typo. To be fair that only applied to people making over $200,000 per year which back in the 1940s was big money.
Ronald Reagan used to tell this story on the campaign trail. As a Hollywood actor in the late 1940s he was making one hundred thousand dollars per feature film. However he would never make more than two per year, because anything after that he would hit that 94% tax bracket, meaning on a third movie he would only keep 6 cents of every dollar. So he stopped working for the year. His words: why would he do another picture even if it was Gone with the Wind? What good would it have done him?
You can disagree with his politics. The math is still the math.
The top rate stayed above 90% through most of the 1950s. Kennedy brought it down to 70%. Reagan eventually got it to 28%. Today it sits at 37% for the highest earners.
Why This Matters Right Now
By historical standards tax rates today are relatively low. We are not here to make a political argument. We are here to point out what the numbers show.
We also have a national debt growing faster than you can watch on a screen. People a lot smarter than me have looked at that number and asked how it gets resolved. The answer many of them land on is that taxes will eventually need to go up. Not because anyone wants them to. Because the math demands it.
We are not predicting the future. We are asking you to think about probability.